Race Analysis - Sunday, April 25

RACE ONE:  BEALE STREET drew poorly but he is taking a big drop and that was a pretty sharp 5-furlong move on April 11. The main concern is that he doesn't appear to have a lot of speed and might be left with too much to do going this short. Nonetheless, he is clearly the one to beat. RIOS IN RIGHT is also dropping to a new low and unless FIN DU JUR leaves there running he could have things all to himself. Trainer is the all time leading trainer in B.C. and has won plenty of races with horses coming off of this type of layoff. FIN DU JOUR has been working well enough and his trainer does good work with young horses. All eight of his siblings are winners so there should be some potential here. ORCHID'S STORM adds blinkers and could show more early lick. He was pretty reliable last year and at the least should be considered for the exotics.

RACE TWO:  TWOBIT'N BILLIE ran well in both of her races going this far last year and the horse she beat in her last start stepped up to win a maiden special weight race in her next race. Nice move out of the gate on Wednesday and she appears to be primed for a big effort by her new trainer. WATCHYOURSTEP won her debut going this distance and then couldn't keep up when she tried stakes fillies in the Lassie. The likely favorite is an obvious threat to win this and the key will be which one leaves there the quickest. BONNIE VAILLE has flashed excellent speed in all of her races south of the border and she won't mind the cutback in distance. DEPUTY JUDY R N will likely receive a lot of support off of her win over $32K maidens at Santa Anita in her last start. It was a pretty weak field as not one of the horses she beat has won a race yet. Hard to tell anything off of her slow works at Pegasus but she is in very capable hands and shouldn't be out of her element here.

RACE THREE:  SIMPLY SAM closed out his 2-year-old season with a solid effort in a maiden special weight race that produced a couple of next out winners. Works have been just average but he should appreciate the easier company and last years leading rider keeps the faith. PRINCE INTENT is by a low percentage debut sire but that was a nice move out of the gate on April 11 and all four of his siblings are multiple winners. Barn solid in all the relevant categories and their main rider is aboard. ADVANTAGE TO SKIP is another one that showed some ability while running against maiden special weight company. The horse that finished second in his last race came back to finish a good second in against wide open allowance company. Works are certainly good enough.

RACE FOUR:  Toss his debut and TRIBAL TEEN has been right there in all of his sprints plus he easily owns the highest Beyer Speed Figure in the field. Outside post could be a problem if he doesn't break on his toes but he usually leaves there running. SILLY FELLA is tackling older horses for the first time but he is a stakes winner and he has been working smartly leading up to this initial start this year. Other than the top pick this doesn't appear to be too tough of a spot for him. NOW ACT cost $800K so there are obviously a few issues with a horse that was dropped to bottoms in just his third start. Works are solid for his return and he ran a pretty good race when he jumped up to $20K after being claimed. The breeding is certainly there and so are the works this spring.

RACE FIVE:  AUDZEEZEE didn't do anything wrong in any of her three races as a 2-year-old and the horse that beat her in her latest came back to win an allowance race. Works are just average but she didn't show much in the mornings leading up to her very good debut. Perez abandons her to ride GRASS ROOTS but pretty strong stats showing when Alvarado rides for Gilker. GRASS ROOTS has a strong set of works showing and over the past 5 years Snow has won with 16 percent of his starters coming back in this time period. Both siblings are multiple winners including stakes placed Nicole's Song so there should be some potential here. RECALLED might want more distance but she has been training well enough and the horse that finished third in her debut recently won a $50K maiden race at the Fairgrounds. QUATRE DAMES picked up a slice in all five of her starts last year, has been working well enough, and should be part of any exotics ticket.

RACE SIX:  CLASSIC IDEALS ran well coming off the bench last year and although he didn't win a race after beating Gather de Justice for $12,500 last June, he was right there in most of his starts. He certainly fits here and with a solid set of works showing it looks like he's ready for a big effort. JIMBO'S BOY only ran four times as a 3-year-old but he looked good winning when he dropped into a conditional race last Oct., and he has been sharp in his works this spring. He has decent speed and should get a nice trip from just off of speed that may not last. That would be SCOTS PINE who was in over his head when he ran against $25K non-winners of two at Emerald on April 10. At least he has a race under his belt and if he can clear early he could take them a long way. DUELLING PISTOL should be fit enough and he shouldn't mind the move back to a sprint. Consider for the exotics.

RACE SEVEN:  CABRON won his 2-year-old debut, his initial start as a sophomore in 2008, and he ran a big race to finish second behind a nice one in his first start last year. In other words, he runs well fresh and his sharp move on April 17 is a good sign he's ready for another stellar effort coming off the bench. There are some obvious concerns with POP ARTIST, who is coming back from a long layoff after getting beat as the heavy chalk in an allowance race last July. Plus, there are no works showing since April 10. Nonetheless, you can poke holes in just about every horse in the field and he is dropping into a straight claiming race for the first time since he broke his maiden for $100K at Belmont in his debut. He is in capable hands and any of his first three races here easily wins this. HUFFMAN has fired a few bullets this spring and could be ready for a big effort for his new connections. No wins coming off of a layoff but he did run well in his initial outing last year.

RACE EIGHT:  WIND STORM appears to be a complete standout here. She was the best sprinter in the filly and mare division last year and she couldn't look any better this spring. Her bullet 5-furlong work in :59.40 seconds on Tuesday tells us all we need to know. BLUE SKY HOLIDAY is a Grade 3 winner but she wants a lot more distance than she is getting here. She has a big class edge over the rest of the field, however, and she should be able to get up for second. CONCERT MUSIC showed a lot of talent in her two starts last year but she's been gone for over 11-months and the horses she faced in her two races aren't in the same league as the top two. She is undefeated, but she still has to prove she can run with these. With all of the potential speed in the field RANDOM HIGHS might be able to get up in time to pick up a slice. Consider using her in the exotics at what should be a decent price.

RACE NINE:  SARATOGA PASS won his initial start in 2009 and he appears to be primed for a big effort in his comeback race. There are some concerns with a horse that has been off since he was claimed for this price last July, but the works have been steady and his new trainer can have them ready coming off of this type of a layoff. He also landed in what appears to be a pretty soft spot. DEVIL'S ATTIRE and RAINIER'S PRINCE are coupled and both are coming off of long layoffs as well. RAINIER'S PRINCE may have tipped his hand with a sharp work out of the gate on April 10. He should be among the leaders and could help set it up for DEVIL'S ATTIRE, who figures to make a late run. HUNTSMASTER might want more distance but he has been working decently and certainly rates a look here.