Race Analysis for Friday, June 25

Analysis by Randy Goulding

RACE ONE: AGAMEONE is overdue to win her first race and she is coming off of another solid race where she just missed despite having to go pretty wide in an 11-horse field. She moves inside where she should be able to save some ground early and she'll appreciate having a few less horses to go around. ERIN'S PENNY didn't break that sharply in her latest race going 3 1/2 furlongs and wont' mind the move to a longer sprint. She ran well to finish third at this distance two back and the horse that finished second came right back to win her next start. GRANNIE GREENE sheds some weight and could be ready for a big effort in the third start of her current form cycle. MACLOGAN has been second in two straight races at this level and should be part of any exotics ticket.

RACE TWO: TEQUISQUIAPAN takes a substantial drop for his second start of the year and he'll certainly appreciate the easier company. He looked pretty sharp in his 5-furlong move on June 19 and he is a half-brother to four route winners so he should be able to get the distance. His lone try going long was with stakes horses and it is also possible he didn't care for the sloppy surface. BRYMIC'S GEM acts like a horse that will go long but none of his six siblings have won a race going a middle distance. Nonetheless, he is the sharpest horse in the race and over the past five years his trainer is 28 percent with horses stretching out for the first time. LEGO MAN finished just behind BRYMIC'S GEM last time but he went pretty wide around the stretch turn while BRYMIC'S GEM got through along the rail. He easily has the best Tomlinson Figure for the distance and just might appreciate the added distance.

RACE THREE: SIR GALLANT should get back on the winning track after getting edged out by Cardinal Zin who came right back to beat sprint stakes winner Woombroom Express in his next start. Sir Gallant has plenty of speed to take advantage of his inside post and he'll be tough to get past if he breaks alertly. POP ARTIST comes out of the same race as the top pick and he ran well to finish third. He looks like the main threat and the only concern is that he scratched out of a race he looked pretty live in on June 12 and he hasn't worked since he ran over a month ago. I WANNA GO FAST should appreciate the move back to a sprint after running a decent race in his first try at a middle distance. He was claimed out of the race and over the past five years his new trainer is 13 percent when she runs them back the first time.

RACE FOUR: EL SINALOENSE is a long way away from his championship 2-year-old form but he is dropping to a new low and if he has any run left in him he should show it here. He is reunited with Alvarado who was aboard for all of his wins and he worked well enough going 5-furlongs on June 13. DARK VADER is also taking a substantial drop after a dull effort in his initial start this year. He's been away since May 1 but his last couple of works have been solid and he is certainly going to appreciate the easier company he's facing here. FEU RIVER made a strong late move to just miss at this latest and there is a good chance the speed will be coming back to him again.

RACE FIVE: SARATOGA INTENTION cuts her price in half after a very good effort where she set the pace and then held on well to finish a close third. It was also a much improved effort compared to her initial start this year and she could be ready for a peak effort in the third start of her current form cycle. ONLYTHEBESTFORYOO is also dropping her value in half and she will certainly appreciate the easier company after running into a fast one in her latest. She also may have bounced off of her strong performance in her debut and it is encouraging to see the leading rider accept the call again. LA NORIA has improved her Beyer Speed Figures in all of her races this year and if she keeps progressing she should be right there again.

RACE SIX: TRICKSY has earned Beyer Speed Figures in her last three races that would likely win this and she is going to appreciate the easier company she is facing with the drop in price. She is also capable of stalking what should be an honest enough pace and Alvarado abandons a very live TWOBIT'N BILLIE to land here. TWOBIT'N BILLIE hasn't been worse than third in any of her races and she is coming off a solid effort where she set the early pace and then held on well to finish third behind the same two horses that beat her in her previous race. She appears to have the best early speed in the field and although Alvarado heads to Tricksy, it won't hurt having the leading rider taking over. ARABELLA MISS could make some noise from off the pace. WATCHYOURSTEP should be involved early and might last long enough to pick up a slice.

RACE SEVEN: MUCHO VERDE dropped to this level to win his latest and he should be tough to handle right back. He'll have to deal with other speed but he forced pretty quick fractions and never looked like losing last time. HEARTBREAK YOGI made a strong late move to finish second behind the top pick and this will be his second try with winners. He seems to be headed in the right direction and if an all out duel does develop he could pick up the pieces. ALYBYE ON FIRE earned a lofty Beyer Speed Figure for his win over bottom level maidens and the slow early fractions probably had a lot to do with his dominating performance. They will be going a lot faster during the early stages here so it is hard to say if he'll be able to keep up the whole way. ABERFELDIE is also coming off of an easy win over bottom level maidens going but he was only going 3 1/2 furlongs and in his two starts going around two turns he wasn't much of a factor. It is possible he is just starting to figure things out and it is encouraging to see Perez keep the faith.

RACE EIGHT: P. S. TOUCH DOWN went about 5-wide the whole way and still managed to finish third in a maiden special weight race June 5. She moves inside and should be able to save some ground this time. She also ran well to finish second at this level in her first start this year and with any kind of trip she should be right there. MOTEL STROLL makes her first start since being claimed by Taylor for $25,000 at Golden Gate last December and she has worked well enough leading up to her comeback race. Would like to have seen another work since she went six-furlongs on June 6 and she did scratch out of a race she looked very live in on June 13. MALIGNE LAKE came back with a sharp work following her much improved performance in her second start. She is clearly the one they will be chasing and if she keeps moving forward she might be able to take them the whole way.